Portfolio Perspectives – March 2026

Key Messages for Investors
  • The February 2026 reporting season demonstrated the resilience of the domestic economy, supported by lower interest rates and rising commodity prices.
  • The earnings-momentum recovery that began in October 2025 was most pronounced in the Resources segment. We are now beginning to see this recovery extend to other sectors on the ASX.
  • At the market level, the overall EPS growth for FY26 and FY27 was revised higher over the month, to 13.5% and 8.0%, respectively.
  • At the sector level, this was mainly driven by upgrades within the Financials and Resources sectors, while the Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary sectors experienced the largest EPS downgrades.
  • From a valuation perspective, the recent market correction has lowered the forward P/E ratio to 17x, bringing it closer to fair value, with resilient earnings growth expectations for FY26 and FY27 potentially limiting further de-rating from current levels.
  • We maintain our slightly underweight exposure to Australian equities, cognisant of the tail risks to risk assets from the conflict in the Middle East.  

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